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| #50359 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:28 AM 06.Oct.2005) TCDAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TAMMY DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT THU OCT 06 2005 SUSTAINED WINDS ALONG THE COAST HAVE DECREASED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE...AND THE COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED. ANY REMAINING GALE FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE HAVE LITTLE OR NO CONNECTION TO TAMMY'S CIRCULATION...AND TAMMY IS DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ARE SUGGESTING THAT THE CIRCULATION IS BECOMING ELONGATED ALONG A WSW-ENE AXIS...AND DISSIPATION IS ANTICIPATED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. A CONTINUED WESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED UNTIL THAT OCCURS. A PORTION OF THE REMNANT LOW-LEVEL VORTICITY COULD TURN SOUTHWESTWARD AND ENTER THE GULF OF MEXICO...BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION. FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TAMMY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION SYSTEM. FORECASTER FRANKLIN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 06/1500Z 31.7N 85.5W 30 KT 12HR VT 07/0000Z 31.5N 87.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING 24HR VT 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED |
