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| #514069 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 28.May.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 500 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012 ...BERYL GRADUALLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES INLAND...WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS EVEN AS THE WINDS DECREASE... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.3N 82.0W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER GEORGIA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.0 WEST. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERYL WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEAST FLORIDA TODAY AND MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...AND BERYL IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM ...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE JACKSONVILLE NAVAL AIR STATION RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 33 MPH... 54 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 41 MPH...67 KM/H. A WIND GUST OF 44 MPH...70 KM/H...WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT NAVAL STATION MAYPORT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY...AND WILL ALSO SPREAD INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF BERYL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY...PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...2 TO 4 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS |
