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#514100 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:47 AM 28.May.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 800 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012 ...BERYL WEAKENING BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.4 82.5W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER GEORGIA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST. BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...BERYL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA TODAY AND INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE PRIMARILY CONFINED TO RAINBANS OVER WATER EAST OF THE CENTER. BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND 140 MILES...220 KM...TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY...PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON... GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...1 TO 2 FT THE DEEPEST WATER ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE REGION OF PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI |