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#514129 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 28.May.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012 1100 AM EDT MON MAY 28 2012 ...BERYL SOAKING PORTIONS OF NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTH GEORGIA...MORE RAIN TO COME... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.5N 82.7W ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WNW OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM ESE OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW TURN TO THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY AND TUESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY OVER WATER EAST FO THE CENTER. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TODAY...PARTICULARLY IN RAINBANDS. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A SUBSIDING STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE IS STILL CAUSING NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON... GEORGIA AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...1 TO 2 FT SURGE-RELATED FLOODING CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTH CAROLINA TODAY. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA/CANGIALOSI |