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#519545 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 19.Jun.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032012 0300 UTC WED JUN 20 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 56.0W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 110 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 150SE 150SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.8N 56.0W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N 56.8W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 38.7N 52.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N 48.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 41.4N 44.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 43.7N 43.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 130SE 80SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 44.5N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...120NE 30SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...ABSORBED BY ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.8N 56.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |