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#519606 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 20.Jun.2012) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032012 0900 UTC WED JUN 20 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 53.5W AT 20/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 150SE 180SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N 53.5W AT 20/0900Z AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N 54.7W FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 38.3N 50.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.6N 45.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.0N 42.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 44.0N 43.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 44.0N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N 53.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |