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| #51994 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 16.Oct.2005) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO SLOWLY GET BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT DRIFTS WESTWARD OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES... 325 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM... SOUTHWEST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA. THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH... 4 KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST OR SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION OF ABOUT 3 MPH...6 KM/HR... IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER... STEERING CURRENTS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN WEAK SO SOME ERRATIC MOTION WILL BE POSSIBLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA... WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.0 N... 79.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART |
