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| #520494 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:02 PM 23.Jun.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012 2100 UTC SAT JUN 23 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...NOT INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS OR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF LOUISIANA FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY...NOT INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS OR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 87.6W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 87.6W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 87.6W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 26.9N 87.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 27.3N 88.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 27.4N 88.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 27.5N 89.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 70SW 85NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 27.5N 91.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 27.5N 93.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 27.5N 95.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N 87.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG/AVILA |
