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#52054 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:40 PM 16.Oct.2005)
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2005

...DEPRESSION MEANDERING IN THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN...RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT TO ARRIVE SHORTLY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FOUR
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 195 MILES... 315 KM... SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
WHILE A GENERALLY WESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN EXTREMELY WEAK AND SOME ERRATIC
MOTION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO IS POSSIBLE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEPRESSION TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND JAMAICA...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS
OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...17.3 N... 79.3 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN