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| #5208 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 PM 14.Aug.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...AND ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.8 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES... 360 KM... SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL BE DETERIORATING TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH EARL. REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...11.3 N... 56.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER JARVINEN |
