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| #521630 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:06 PM 26.Jun.2012) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012 800 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012 ...DEBBY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...COASTAL AND INLAND FLOODING THREATS REMAIN... SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 83.1W ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM N OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST. DEBBY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. AN EASTWARD OR EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH SOME FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEBBY SHOULD CROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTS TO TROPICAL-STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. STORM SURGE...EVEN THOUGH DEBBY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...COASTAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS. THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING...WITH LEVELS SIMILAR TO THOSE THAT OCCURRED ON MONDAY. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND... APALACHEE BAY AND THE NATURE COAST...2 TO 4 FT SOUTH OF THE NATURE COAST INCLUDING TAMPA BAY...1 TO 3 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...DEBBY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH ISOLATED RAINFALL TOTALS AS HIGH AS 10 INCHES. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN FLORIDA. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
