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| #521671 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:42 PM 26.Jun.2012) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042012 1100 PM EDT TUE JUN 26 2012 ...CENTER OF DEBBY TURNS SOUTHEASTWARD...EXPECTED TO RESUME AN EASTWARD MOTION LATER TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.0N 82.8W ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM ESE OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM W OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 125 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT...WITH A MOTION TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND POSSIBLY EMERGE INTO THE ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST WHILE THE CENTER IS OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AFTER THE CENTER REACHES THE ATLANTIC. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- STORM SURGE...EVEN THOUGH DEBBY CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN... THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT HAS NOT FULLY DIMINISHED DUE TO PERSISTENT ONSHORE WINDS. THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISING WATERS DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND... FLORIDA WEST COAST INCLUDING TAMPA BAY...1 TO 3 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST SOUTH OF THE CENTER IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA... PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. RAINFALL...DEBBY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...WITH ISOLATED 5 INCH AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN FLORIDA. TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
