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#5224 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:56 AM 15.Aug.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004 ...EARL MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...AND ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.9 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 260 MILES...415 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL GRADUALLY DETERIORATE THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH EARL. REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...11.4 N... 57.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST. FORECASTER STEWART |