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| #52296 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 AM 18.Oct.2005) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM WILMA ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT TUE OCT 18 2005 ...WILMA ALMOST A HURRICANE...EXPECTED TO BE ONE SOON... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO CABO CAMARON. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME AN INTENSE HURRICANE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THEREFORE...ALL INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 260 MILES ...420 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT 220 MILES... 350 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA /HONDURAS BORDER. WILMA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THEREAFTER...A GENERAL MOTION TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...JAMAICA...HAITI...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HONDURAS. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...15.7 N... 80.0 W. MOVEMENT ...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
