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| #5230 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 AM 15.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 0900Z SUN AUG 15 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 31.6W AT 15/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......120NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 31.6W AT 15/0900Z AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 30.8W FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 14.7N 33.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 75SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.9N 35.9W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 17.4N 37.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.6N 39.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 115SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 23.0N 42.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 26.5N 44.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 29.0N 45.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 31.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z FORECASTER STEWART |
