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| #5231 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:36 AM 15.Aug.2004) TCDAT3 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DISCUSSION NUMBER 25 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2004 CHARLEY IS JUST BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...WITH ABOUT THE ONLY EVIDENCE OF TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS REMAINING BEING THE RELATIVELY SMALL WIND CORE THAT THE CYCLONE HAS POSSESSED SINCE IT FIRST FORMED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 35 KT AND CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1012 MB ARE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CHARLEY SHOULD BECOME COMPLETELY EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HR OR LESS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 040/26. CHARLEY SHOULD CONTINUE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL THE EXTRATROPICAL REMNANT LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN A FRONTAL ZONE IN 72-96 HR. FORECASTER JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/0900Z 40.8N 73.0W 35 KT 12HR VT 15/1800Z 43.5N 69.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 24HR VT 16/0600Z 45.5N 65.0W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 36HR VT 16/1800Z 47.3N 59.9W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 17/0600Z 48.4N 55.1W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL |
