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| #5251 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:10 AM 15.Aug.2004) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004 ...EARL MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BARBADOS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TRINIDAD... TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...THE GRENADINES...ST. VINCENT...AND ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL. AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.8 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 105 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA. EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR...AND A MOTION TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TODAY. BANDS OF SQUALLS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING EARL. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH EARL. REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...11.8 N... 60.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER PASCH |
