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| #5265 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 15.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 1500Z SUN AUG 15 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 32.7W AT 15/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 981 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 40SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 32.7W AT 15/1500Z AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 32.1W FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 15.9N 34.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 17.6N 36.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.6N 38.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.7N 40.0W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 25.7N 42.1W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 31.0N 42.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 35.0N 39.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 32.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH |
