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| #52933 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:43 AM 22.Oct.2005) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 AM CDT SAT OCT 22 2005 ...LARGE EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA OVER PLAYA DEL CARMEN ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...RELENTESSLY POUNDING CANCUN AND COZUMEL... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE WILMA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OVER PLAYA DEL CARMEN YUCATAN OR ABOUT 25 MILES...45 KM...SOUTHWESTOF CANCUN MEXICO. WILMA HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE WILMA WILL BE AFFECTING THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA ALL DAY SATURDAY. SINCE THE EYE IS ALREADY INLAND...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE PROBABLY DECREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA REMAINS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE THE CENTER OF WILMA MOVES OVER LAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATIC STATION LOCATED IN ISLA MUJERES HAS BEEN REPORTING WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE DURING THE PAST 10 TO 12 HOURS WITH A MAXIMUM WIND GUST TO 108 MPH...173 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER ALONG ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 40 INCHES POSSIBLE. OUTER RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA... ESPECIALLY THE KEYS... PRODUCING 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SUNDAY. NOAA BUOY 42003 IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATES THAT LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...20.8 N... 87.2 W. MOVEMENT... MEANDERING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 935 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
