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| #53022 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:46 AM 22.Oct.2005) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL252005 1500Z SAT OCT 22 2005 AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF HISPANIOLA BY THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. AT 11 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS...AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 68.0W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 68.0W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 67.5W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.9N 69.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 18.2N 71.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.6N 72.8W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 24.9N 72.3W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 36.3N 62.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 68.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z FORECASTER ROBERTS/KNABB |
