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| #53046 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:58 PM 22.Oct.2005) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM CDT SAT OCT 22 2005 ...WILMA STILL INLAND AND DRIFTING NORTHWARD OVER YUCATAN... ...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAVE PERSISTED OVER YUCATAN FOR 24 HOURS... A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. ALL INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE WILMA. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAN FELIPE TO CHETUMAL ON THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...INCLUDING COZUMEL AND THE NEARBY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO CELESTUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT IN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS WESTWARD THROUGH PINAR DEL RIO...AND FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST... JUST WEST OF CANCUN MEXICO... OR ABOUT 400 MILES... 645 KM... SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. WILMA IS ERRATICALLY DRIFTING NORTHWARD... AND A CONTINUED SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK... THE CORE OF WILMA WILL CONTINUE TO SEVERELY IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY AND TONIGHT... AND THEN EMERGE NORTH OF THE PENINSULA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 110 MPH... 175 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY WHILE WILMA IS OVER LAND... BUT SOME RESTRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY ONCE WILMA EMERGES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NOAA BUOY 42057 IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF WILMA... RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 47 MPH... 76 KM/HR. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES... WILL CONTINUE NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE EYE ALONG ON THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. WILMA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS APPROACHING 50 INCHES. RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA INCLUDING THE KEYS THROUGH TUESDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES... WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA HAVE PROPAGATED WELL INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT. REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...21.2 N... 87.0 W. MOVEMENT... DRIFTING NORTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 953 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT. FORECASTER KNABB |
