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| #5314 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:46 PM 15.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 2100Z SUN AUG 15 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 33.9W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT.......150NE 75SE 75SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 33.9W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 33.5W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.7N 35.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N 37.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.8N 39.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 23.1N 40.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 27.4N 41.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 31.6N 40.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 34.5N 36.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 33.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH |
