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| #53262 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 23.Oct.2005) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT SUN OCT 23 2005 ...ALPHA WEAKENS OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF HISPANIOLA...TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE... AT 11 AM...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COASTLINES OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.5 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 140 MILES...225 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT ALFA COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...19.2 N... 72.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT. FORECASTER AVILA |
