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#532807 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:26 PM 08.Aug.2012)
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012
0300 UTC THU AUG 09 2012

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ EASTWARD TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTH OF CAMPECHE MEXICO.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
* EAST OF CHILITEPEC TO CAMPECHE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF YUCATAN
MEXICO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 91.8W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 91.8W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 91.5W

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.7N 93.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.3N 95.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 50SE 50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.9N 96.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.6N 98.1W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 91.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART