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| #532984 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 09.Aug.2012) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 400 PM CDT THU AUG 09 2012 ...ERNESTO MADE LANDFALL AROUND 100 PM CDT NEAR THE CITY OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO WITH 60 MPH WINDS... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 95.2W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM W OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR ...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AFTER MAKING LANDFALL NEAR COATZACOALCOS AT 1800 UTC...1 PM CDT...ERNESTO HAS CONTINUED MOVING INLAND...AND AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ERNESTO WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE PRIMARILY OCCURRING OVER WATER TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO IN DAY OR TWO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA AND NEAR THE CENTER OF ERNESTO THIS EVENING. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT. RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ASSOCIATED WITH ERNESTO ARE POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. THESE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
