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#533154 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 10.Aug.2012) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 400 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012 ...ERNESTO CONTINUING TO WEAKEN OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 97.8W ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NW OF OAXACA MEXICO ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY AS THE CYCLONE CONTINUES ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WILL CONTINUE IN A SMALL AREA NEAR CENTER OF ERNESTO THIS MORNING. RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...OAXACA...AND GUERRERO THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ERNESTO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |