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#533205 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 10.Aug.2012) TCPAT5 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052012 1000 AM CDT FRI AUG 10 2012 ...ERNESTO DISSIPATES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.0N 99.2W ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM WSW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ THE CIRCULATION OF ERNESTO HAS BEEN DISRUPTED BY THE HIGH MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO. AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF ERNESTO WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.2 WEST. THE REMANTS OF ERNESTO ARE FORECAST TO MOVE OFF MEXICO INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC...AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN A DAY OR TWO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...35 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN PASSING SHOWERS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...PUEBLA...OAXACA...AND GUERRERO THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ERNESTO. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |