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#534661 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 16.Aug.2012)
TCMAT3

TROPICAL STORM GORDON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012
1500 UTC THU AUG 16 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE AZORES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GORDON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 53.8W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 53.8W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 54.4W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 34.3N 51.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 34.9N 48.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 50SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 34.9N 44.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 34.8N 40.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 50SW 20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE 100SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 35.6N 32.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW 70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 37.9N 25.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.4N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 53.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART