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#535226 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 PM 18.Aug.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072012 400 PM CDT SAT AUG 18 2012 ...HELENE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS STATE IN MEXICO...STILL PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...22.6N 98.8W ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WNW OF TAMPICO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.8 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HELENE IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE INLAND OVER MEXICO TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN SQUALLS NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN VERACRUZ AND SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS STATES THROUGH THIS EVENING. RAINFALL...HELENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS NORTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF MEXICO FROM NORTHERN VERACRUZ INTO SOUTHERN TAMAULIPAS AND EASTERN SAN LUIS STATES...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG |