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#535405 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 19.Aug.2012) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE GORDON ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082012 1100 AM AST SUN AUG 19 2012 ...GORDON EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN AZORES AS A HURRICANE ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.5N 29.7W ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM WSW OF SAO MIGUEL ISLAND IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EASTERN AZORES A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.7 WEST. GORDON IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF GORDON WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN AZORES ON MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GORDON IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT GORDON IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT PASSES NEAR OR OVER THE EASTERN AZORES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE EASTERN AZORES LATER TODAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND MONDAY. RAINFALL...GORDON IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AZORES. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY GORDON ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN AZORES TODAY...CAUSING DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |