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| #5358 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:44 AM 16.Aug.2004) TCMAT4 HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042004 0900Z MON AUG 16 2004 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 36.3W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB EYE DIAMETER 5 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 70SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 36.3W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 35.9W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 18.7N 37.7W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 20.7N 39.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 22.8N 40.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 24.9N 40.7W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.2N 40.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 32.8N 38.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 35.1N 33.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 36.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z FORECASTER SISKO/STEWART |
