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| #535841 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:48 AM 21.Aug.2012) TCMAT4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092012 1500 UTC TUE AUG 21 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MARTINIQUE * DOMINICA * GUADELOUPE AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND ST. MARTIN * ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...MONTSERRAT...ANGUILLA...AND BARBUDA * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTEN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 52.8W AT 21/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 52.8W AT 21/1500Z AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 52.0W FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 15.2N 55.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.5N 58.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.9N 61.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.2N 64.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.0N 70.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 70SE 50SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 18.5N 74.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 20.5N 77.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 52.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
