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| #53676 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:41 AM 24.Oct.2005) TCDAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALPHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 ALPHA CONTINUES TO SHOW CURVED LOW CLOUD LINES WITH A PATCH OF CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE APPARENT CENTER. HOWEVER... MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES DO NOT DEFINITIVELY SHOW A CLOSED CIRCULATION AS THE CYCLONE MOVES NORTHWARD ON THE EAST SIDE OF HURRICANE WILMA. THIS ADVISORY WILL KEEP THE SYSTEM AS A 30 KT DEPRESSION BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB... SAB...AND AFWA. HOWEVER...IF A CLOSED CIRCULATION DOES NOT BECOME MORE APPARENT...ADVISORIES COULD BE DISCONTINUED THIS AFTERNOON. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 010/17. ALPHA SHOULD ACCELERATE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HR BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY THE LARGER AND MORE POWERFUL WILMA APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST. FORECASTER BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/1500Z 25.9N 72.2W 30 KT 12HR VT 25/0000Z 31.0N 70.6W 30 KT 24HR VT 25/1200Z...ABSORBED BY HURRICANE WILMA |
