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| #53798 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:08 PM 24.Oct.2005) TCDAT4 HURRICANE WILMA DISCUSSION NUMBER 39 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT MON OCT 24 2005 WILMA HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN SINCE PASSING OVER FLORIDA. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED 850 MB FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 132 KT...CORRESPONDING TO ABOUT 105 KT SURFACE WINDS...PROVIDING THE BASIS FOR THE ADVISORY INTENSITY. THE HURRICANE ALSO CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AND IS NOW RACING NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 32 KT. WHEN WILMA TRANSFORMS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT CERTAIN. IT MIGHT BE ABLE TO KEEP FROM BECOMING TOO ENTANGLED WITH THE STRONG BAROCLINIC TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES FOR 24 HOURS OR MORE WHILE RUNNING ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE COASTLINE. WILMA HAS BEEN RATHER RESISTANT TODAY IN ALLOWING ITS INNER CORE TO BE DISRUPTED...AND IT COULD MAINTAIN DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND HOLD ON TO HURRICANE STATUS WELL INTO TOMORROW. SHORTLY THEREAFTER IT SHOULD MAKE THE TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL...BUT REGARDLESS OF WHEN THAT DESIGNATION IS MADE...A LARGE AND STRONG CYCLONE WILL TRAVERSE THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN ATLANTIC FOR SEVERAL DAYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST FOLLOWS MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS THAT FORECAST THE EXTRATROPICAL STORM TO TURN MORE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. FORECASTER KNABB FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 24/2100Z 29.0N 77.4W 105 KT 12HR VT 25/0600Z 33.1N 72.6W 85 KT 24HR VT 25/1800Z 39.4N 65.2W 70 KT 36HR VT 26/0600Z 43.1N 58.2W 60 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 48HR VT 26/1800Z 45.0N 53.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 27/1800Z 46.1N 42.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 28/1800Z 47.5N 33.0W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 120HR VT 29/1800Z 51.5N 22.5W 55 KT...EXTRATROPICAL |
