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| #538135 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 28.Aug.2012) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012 0300 UTC WED AUG 29 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 45.0W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 45.0W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 44.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 24.2N 46.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 24.5N 48.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 30SE 0SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.0N 50.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 26.0N 52.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 29.0N 55.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 34.8N 52.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 42.3N 44.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 45.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/CANGIALOSI |
