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| #538220 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 AM 29.Aug.2012) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012 0900 UTC WED AUG 29 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 45.3W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 45.3W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 44.9W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.7N 46.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 25.3N 48.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 26.4N 50.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 28.1N 51.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 32.5N 51.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 38.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 46.0N 37.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 45.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
