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| #538294 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 29.Aug.2012) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012 1500 UTC WED AUG 29 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 46.9W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 46.9W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N 46.5W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 25.3N 48.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 26.2N 50.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 27.8N 51.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 29.8N 52.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 34.5N 50.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 40.5N 44.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 48.5N 32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 46.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
