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| #538386 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:42 PM 29.Aug.2012) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012 2100 UTC WED AUG 29 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 47.6W AT 29/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 70NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 47.6W AT 29/2100Z AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N 47.1W FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 26.1N 48.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 27.7N 50.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 29.6N 51.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 31.9N 51.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 70SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 38.0N 46.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 45.5N 37.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 47.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
