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| #538897 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 30.Aug.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 0300 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 46.8W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 46.8W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 45.9W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.5N 49.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 16.7N 51.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 17.9N 54.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.3N 56.8W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.5N 60.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 26.5N 61.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 29.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 46.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
