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| #538969 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 AM 31.Aug.2012) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE KIRK ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012 500 AM AST FRI AUG 31 2012 ...HURRICANE KIRK WITH 105-MPH WINDS MOVES OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.1N 50.9W ABOUT 835 MI...1345 KM E OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1470 MI...2360 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.9 WEST. KIRK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. THE FORECAST TRACK KEEPS KIRK OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KIRK IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
