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#539037 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 31.Aug.2012)
TCMAT2

TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012
1500 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 49.1W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 49.1W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 48.4W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.2N 51.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.5N 54.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N 56.3W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.9N 58.4W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.8N 61.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 25.9N 62.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 27.0N 62.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 49.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE