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#539187 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 PM 31.Aug.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1100 PM AST FRI AUG 31 2012 ...LESLIE CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 52.8W ABOUT 595 MI...955 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LESLIE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.8 WEST. LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED BY LATE SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... AND LESLIE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |