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#539314 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 01.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1100 AM AST SAT SEP 01 2012 ...LESLIE STRUGGLING AGAINST SHEAR... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 55.7W ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM ENE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.7 WEST. LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE IS EXPECTED TO PASS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE COULD AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND BEGIN TO AFFECT PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |