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#539459 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:06 PM 01.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 0300 UTC SUN SEP 02 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 58.4W AT 02/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 58.4W AT 02/0300Z AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 57.8W FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 21.3N 60.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 23.1N 61.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 24.7N 62.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.8N 62.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.0N 62.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...130NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 28.0N 62.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 58.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |