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| #539483 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:45 PM 02.Sep.2012) TCDAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KIRK DISCUSSION NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112012 500 PM AST SUN SEP 02 2012 DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH KIRK HAS BECOME DISPLACED ABOUT 100 N MI TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE ESTIMATED CENTER DUE TO OVER 30 KT OF SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR. THE GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME COLD CORE...OR NO LONGER TROPICAL IN NATURE...ACCORDING TO THE FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY CYCLONE PHASE ANALYSIS. THEREFORE...KIRK IS NOW CONSIDERED A POST- TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS RACING NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 41 KT. A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY IMPINGING ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 02/2100Z 49.7N 32.6W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 03/0600Z 55.0N 25.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 03/1800Z...MERGED WITH FRONT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
