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#539809 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 03.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1500 UTC MON SEP 03 2012 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 63.1W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW. 12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 120SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 63.1W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 62.8W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.2N 63.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.8N 63.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 26.3N 63.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 60SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.8N 63.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.7N 63.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 29.0N 64.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 31.5N 64.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 63.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |