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| #540770 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 06.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 2100 UTC THU SEP 06 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE WEATHER SERVICE OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 62.2W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT.......140NE 100SE 80SW 130NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 220SE 180SW 330NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 62.2W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 62.2W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.6N 62.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 27.0N 62.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...140NE 100SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 130SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 28.5N 62.6W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 190SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 32.0N 62.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 35.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 41.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.5N 62.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
