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| #540862 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:02 AM 07.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE LESLIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 200 AM AST FRI SEP 07 2012 ...LESLIE EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ON FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.5N 62.2W ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST. LESLIE IS STATIONARY...AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. A NORTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY...WITH A SLIGHTLY FASTER NORTHWARD MOTION EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LESLIE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY...WHILE SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260 KM. NOAA BUOY 41049 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 54 MPH...86 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 63 MPH...101 KM/HR. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE LESLIE ON FRIDAY MORNING. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA... THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY SUNDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
