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#541085 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 07.Sep.2012) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM LESLIE ADVISORY NUMBER 35 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1100 PM AST FRI SEP 07 2012 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORT LESLIE HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN STRENGTH... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 62.3W ABOUT 360 MI...575 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY FOR BERMUDA ON SATURDAY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LESLIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST. LESLIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A GENERAL NORTHWARD MOTION AND A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LESLIE SHOULD PASS EAST OF BERMUDA SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT. REPORTS FROM NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND LESLIE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS OVER THE WEEKEND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41049 RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 47 MPH...76 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...90 KM/HR. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND BUOY DATA IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY LESLIE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA... THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA NORTHWARD...THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE FOR MORE INFORMATION. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY EARLY SUNDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |