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#541213 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 08.Sep.2012) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122012 1500 UTC SAT SEP 08 2012 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 62.5W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. 34 KT.......160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 330SW 360NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N 62.5W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 62.5W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 0SE 20SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 31.2N 62.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 20SE 40SW 80NW. 34 KT...170NE 140SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.8N 61.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 110SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 34.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 130SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 40.5N 58.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...210NE 200SE 150SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 45.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 47.0N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N 62.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |